Accruals and Cash Flows in Explaining Stock Returns

Authors

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to examine the explanatory power of accruals and cash flows in explaining stock return in Tehran Stock Exchange. Ball and Brown (1968) began research on the relationship between accounting earnings and firm value. Following them, in last five decades, accounting research has produced a significant volume of research on the relationship between accounting earnings and firm value. Earnings consist of accruals and cash flow components and question about information content of earnings components is considered by capital market participant. This paper attempts to gather empirical evidence on this issue.
In so doing, we used of financial data of 111 firms listed in TSE during 2003-2009. The results show the information content of earnings is relatively better than the cash flow.

Keywords


- تهرانی، رضا. (1386). «رابطة وجه نقد حاصل از عملیات و سود تعهّدی با بازده سهام». فصلنامة تحقیقات مالی، ش24، صص21-32.
- خواجوی، شکرا... و امین ناظمی. (1384). «ارتباط بین کیفیت سود و بازده سهام با تأکید بر نقش ارقام تعهّدی در بورس اوراق بهادار تهران». فصلنامه بررسی‌های حسابداری و حسابرسی، س12، ش40، تابستان، صص37-60.
- راعی، رضا و احمد تلنگی. (1389). مدیریت سرمایه‌گذاری پیشرفته. تهران، سمت.
- عرب مازار یزدی، محمد. (1374). «محتوای افزاینده جریان‌های نقدی و تعهّدی». رسالة دکتری، دانشگاه تهران.
- ــــــــــ و بیتا مشایخی. (1385). «محتوای اطلاعاتی جریان‌های نقدی و تعهّدی در بازار سرمایة ایران». فصلنامه بررسی حسابداری و حسابرسی، ش43، صص99-118.
- فروغی، داریوش و اسماعیل مظاهری. (1388). «توانایی سود و جریان‌های نقد عملیاتی در توضیح ارزش ذاتی تحقق‌یافتة سهام». فصلنامة پژوهش‌های حسابداری مالی، ش1 و 2، صص1-16.
- کردستانی، غلامرضا و حمید رودنشین. (1385). «بررسی میزان مربوط بودن اجزای نقدی و تعهّدی سود حسابداری به ارزش بازار شرکت». بررسی‌های حسابداری و حسابرسی، ش45، پاییز، صص45-68.
- کردستانی، غلامرضا و مهدی خلیلی. (1390). «تأثیر محافظه‌کاری بر محتوای اطلاعاتی تفاضلی جریان‌های نقدی و اقلام تعهّدی»، دانش حسابداری، ش4، صص83-104.
- مدرّس، احمد و محمدرضا عباس‌زاده. (1387). «بررسی تحلیلی تأثیر توانایی پیش‌بینی اجزاء تعهّدی و جریان‌های نقدی بر کیفیت سود پیش‌بینی‌شده». مجله دانش و توسعه، س15، ش24.
- Ali, A. (1994). “The Incremental Information Content of Earnings, Working Capital from Operations, and Cash Flows”. Journal of Accounting Research, 32(1), pp.61–74.
- __________ & p. Pope. (1995). “The Incremental Information Content of Earnings, Fund Flow and Cash Flow: The UK Evidence”. Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, 22(1), pp.19–34.
- Ahsan, Habib. (2006). “The Role of Accruals and Cash Flows in Explaining Security Returns: Evidence From New Zealand”. Journal of International Accounting, Auditing, and Taxing, 17(2008), pp.51-66.
- Ball, R., & P. Brown. (1968). “An Empirical Evaluation of Accounting Income Numbers”. Journal of Accounting Research, 6(2), pp.159–178
- Beaver, W. H. (1968). “The Information Content of Annual Earnings Announcements”. Journal of Accounting Research, (Suppl.), pp.67–92
- Bartov, E., S. R. Goldberg, & M. S. Kim. (2001). “The Valuation-Relevance of Earnings and Cash Flows: an International Perspective”. Journal of International Financial Management and Accounting, 12(2), pp.103–132.
- Cheng, C. S. A., C.-S. Liu, & T. F. Schaffer. (1996). “Earnings Permanence and the Incremental Information Content of Cash Flows from Operations”. Journal of Accounting Research, 34(1), pp.173–181.
- Cheng, C. S. A., & S. S. M. Yang. (2003). “The Incremental Information Content of Earnings and Cash Flows From Operations Affected by their Extremity”. Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, 30(1–2), pp.73–116.
- Charitou, A., C. Clubb, & A. Andreou. (2001). “The Effect of Earnings Permanence, Growth and Firm Size on the Usefulness of Cash Flows in Explaining Security Returns: Empirical Evidence for the UK”. Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, 28(5–6), pp.563–594.
- Chen, C. S. Anges, C. S. liu, & T. F. Schaefer. (1996). “Earning Performance and the Incremental Content of Cash Flows From Operation”. Journal of Accounting Research (Spring), pp.173-181
- Dechow, P. M. (1994). “Accounting Earnings and Cash Flows as Measures of Firm Performance: The Role of Accruals”. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 18(1), pp.3–42.
- DeFond, M. L., & Jiambalvo, J. (1994). “Debt Covenant Effects and the Manipulation of Accruals”. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 17(1-2), pp.145-176.
- Freeman, R., & S. Tse. (1992). “A Nonlinear Model of Security Price Responses to Unexpected Earnings”. Journal of Accounting Research, 30(2).
- Healy, P. M., & K. G. Palepu. (1993). “The Effect of Firms’ Financial Disclosure Policies on Stock Prices”. Accounting Horizon, 7, pp.1-11.
- Lev, B. (1989). “On the Usefulness of Earnings and Earnings Research: Lessons and Directions from Two Decades of Empirical Research”. Journal of Accounting Research, 27(Suppl.), pp.153–201.
- Lee, T. A. (1974). “Enterprise Income: Survival or Decline and fall?” Accounting and Business Research, 40(summer), pp.178–192.
- Lawson G. H. (1985). “The Measure of Corporate Performance on a Cash Flow Basis: A reply to Mr Egginton”. Accounting and Business Research. (spring), pp.99-112
- Lee, T. A. (1985). “Cash Flow Accounting, Profit and Performance Measurement, Response to Challenge”, Accounting and Busi ness Research (spring).
- Martinez, I. (2003). “The Impact of Firm-specific Attributes on the Relevance in Earnings and Cash Flows: A Nonlinear Relationship Between Stock Returns and Accounting Numbers”. Review of Accounting & Finance, 2(1), pp.16–39.
- Martikainen, M. (1997). “Accounting Losses and Earnings Response Coefficients: The Impact of leverage and Growth Opportunities”. Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, 24(2), pp.277–291.
- Neill, J. D., T. F. Schaefer, P. R. Bahnson, & M. E. Bradbury. (1991). “The Usefulness of Cash Flow Data: A Review and Synthesis”. Journal ofAccounting Literature10, pp.117–150.
- Ohlson, J. A. (1995). “Earnings, Book Values and Dividends in Security Valuation”. Contemporary Accounting Research, 12(Spring), pp.661–687.
- Rayburn, J. (1986). “The Association of Operating Cash Flow and Accruals with Security Returns”. Journal of Accounting Research, 24(Suppl.), pp.112–133.